搜索结果: 1-15 共查到“地球科学总论 Probabilistic”相关记录22条 . 查询时间(0.047 秒)
Global sensitivity analysis,probabilistic calibration,and predictive assessment for the data assimilation linked ecosystem carbon model
Global sensitivity analysis probabilistic calibration predictive assessment data assimilation linked ecosystem carbon model
2015/8/6
In this paper we propose a probabilistic framework for an uncertainty quantification (UQ) study of a carbon cycle model and focus on the comparison between steady-state and transient simulation setups...
Application of a computationally efficient method to approximate gap model results with a probabilistic approach
computationally efficient method approximate gap model results probabilistic approach
2014/12/19
To be able to simulate climate change effects on forest dynamics over the whole of Switzerland, we adapted the second-generation DGVM (dynamic global vegetation model) LPJ-GUESS (Lund–Potsdam–Jena Gen...
“Probabilistic calibration of a Greenland Ice Sheet model using spatially resolved synthetic observations: toward projections of ice mass loss with uncertainties” published in Geosci. Model Dev., 7, 1933–1943, 2014
Greenland Ice Sheet spatially resolved synthetic observations
2014/12/19
Due to an oversight in the production process, the article “Probabilistic calibration of a Greenland Ice Sheet model
using spatially resolved synthetic observations: toward projections of ice mass lo...
Improving predictive power of physically based rainfall-induced shallow landslide models: a probabilistic approach
Distributed model prediction shallow landslide expand the space geotechnical engineering the model of the rainfall infiltration
2014/12/18
Distributed models to forecast the spatial and temporal occurrence of rainfall-induced shallow landslides are based on deterministic laws. These models extend spatially the static stability models ado...
Quantifying the discharge forecast uncertainty by different approaches to probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecast
discharge forecast forecast
2010/1/27
A probabilistic approach to flood prediction over the Reno river basin, a medium-sized catchment in Northern Italy, has been tested using two different meteorological ensemble systems. The future prec...
A probabilistic approach to the concept of Probable Maximum Precipitation
Maximum Precipitation PMP
2010/1/27
The concept of Probable Maximum Precipitation (PMP) is based on the assumptions that (a) there exists an upper physical limit of the precipitation depth over a given area at a particular geographical ...
Probabilistic seismic hazard maps from seismicity patterns analysis:the Iberian Peninsula case
Probabilistic seismic hazard maps seismicity patterns analysis Iberian Peninsula case
2009/12/14
Earthquake prediction is a main topic in Seismology. Here, the goal is to know the correlation between the seismicity at a certain place at a given time with the seismicity at the same place, but at a...
Estimation of the seismic hazard parameters for various sites in Greece using a probabilistic approach
seismic hazard parameters various sites Greece probabilistic approach
2009/12/14
The probabilistic approach that was recently introduced by Kijko and Graham (1998,1999) was applied for the estimation of seismic hazard for various sites in Greece in terms of peak ground acceleratio...
Probabilistic analysis of drought spatiotemporal characteristics inThessaly region, Greece
drought spatiotemporal characteristics Thessaly region
2009/12/14
The temporal and spatial characteristics of meteorological drought are investigated to provide a framework for sustainable water resources management in the region of Thessaly, Greece. Thessaly is the...
Preliminary re-evaluation of probabilistic seismic hazard assessment in Chile: from Arica to Taitao Peninsula
probabilistic seismic hazard assessment Chile Taitao Peninsula
2010/1/28
Chile is one of the most seismically active countries in the world; indeed, having witnessed very large earthquakes associated with high horizontal peak ground accelerations, the use of probabilistic ...
An historical, geomechanical and probabilistic approach to rock-fall hazard assessment
rock-fall hazard assessment an historical, geomechanical and probabilistic approach
2009/12/10
A new method (HGP for Historical, Geomechanical and Probabilistic) is proposed to estimate the failure probability of potentially unstable rock masses in a homogenous area, as a function of time. Ana...
Probabilistic approach to rock fall hazard assessment: potential of historical data analysis
Probabilistic approach hazard assessment historical data analysis
2009/12/9
In agreement with previous studies, this suggests, that the b value is not dependant on the geological settings. Regarding the rate of rock fall activity, determined as the number of rock fall events ...
Probabilistic seismic hazard in terms of intensities for Bulgaria and Romania–updated hazard maps
Probabilistic seismic hazard terms of intensities Bulgaria Romania updated hazard maps
2010/1/4
Since 2007 Bulgaria and Romania are members of the European Union. All member states have to introduce the European earthquake building code EUROCODE 8 (EC 8) in the coming years. Therefore, new seism...
Application of a probabilistic model of rainfall-induced shallow landslides to complex hollows
a probabilistic model rainfall-induced shallow landslides complex hollows
2009/12/30
Recently, D'Odorico and Fagherazzi (2003) proposed "A probabilistic model of rainfall-triggered shallow landslides in hollows" (Water Resour. Res., 39, 2003). Their model describes the long-term evolu...
Probabilistic forecasting of shallow, rainfall-triggered landslides using real-time numerical weather predictions
Probabilistic forecasting shallow, rainfall-triggered landslides real-time numerical weather predictions
2009/12/30
Global weather forecasts from the United Kingdom Met Office (MO) Numerical Weather Prediction model (NWP) are coupled with a regional data assimilating NWP model (New Zealand Limited Area Model, NZLAM...