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Modelling the constraints on consanguineous marriage when fertility declines
consanguinity fertility transition modelling
2014/11/26
Background: Consanguinity - or marriage between close blood relatives, in particular first cousins - is widely practised and even socially encouraged in many countries. However, in the face of fertili...
A Bayesian semiparametric multilevel survival modelling of age at first birth in Nigeria
childbearing age fertility first birth geo-additive models Nigeria prior and posterior distributions spatial analysis
2014/11/24
Background: The age at which childbearing begins influences the total number of children a woman bears throughout her reproductive period, in the absence of any active fertility control. For countries...
Modelling biological birth order and comparison with census parity data in Switzerland: a report to complement the Swiss data in the Human Fertility Collection (HFC)
age-specific fertility rates long format wide format reshape
2014/3/21
In the Human Fertility Database (HFD, 2012), age-specific data are presented in the long format, with both the years (or the years of the mothers’ births) and the mothers’ ages at birth in descending ...
A Multilevel Modelling Approach to the Determinants of Urban and Rural Fertility in Bangladesh (Demographers' Notebook)
Bangladesh Rural Fertility
2009/4/8
When a data set is generated from a country-wide survey, it is important to test it to determine whether or not fertility variations are due to the structure of the data. Generally, small area data ar...
Workshop on “Agent-Based Computational Modelling. An Instrument for Analysing Complex Adaptive Systems in Demography, Economics and Environment”at the Vienna Institute of Demography, December 4-6, 2003
agent-based computational economics agent-based computational demography
2009/3/19
Agent-based models are increasingly used in different fields when studying complex
adaptive systems. Micro-level interaction between heterogeneous agents is at
the heart of recent advances in modell...
Fertility and union dissolution in Brazil：an example of multi-process modelling using the Demographic and Health Survey calendar data
aml Brazil calendar data DHS fertility multiprocess model union dissolution
2008/12/16
This study examines the union and conception histories of Brazilian women aged 15-49 using the 1996 Demographic and Health Survey’s calendar data. The aim of the paper is twofold: firstly to explore t...
Modelling the demographic impact of HIV/AIDS in South Africa and the likely impact of interventions
antiretroviral treatment demographic impact HIV/AIDS prevention simulation model South Africa
2008/12/11
This paper describes an approach to incorporating the impact of HIV/AIDS and the effects of HIV/AIDS prevention and treatment programmes into a cohort component projection model of the South African p...
Modelling regional variation of first-time births in Denmark 1980-1994 by an age-period-cohort model
age-period-cohort models Denmark fertility fertility rate nulliparous women regional
2008/12/11
Despite the small size of Denmark, there have traditionally been rather consistent regional differences in fertility rates. We apply the statistical age-period-cohort model to include the effect of th...
The High Fertility of College Educated Women in Norway An Artefact of the Separate Modelling of Each Parity Transition
education fertility hazard models parity-specific unobserved heterogeneity
2008/12/1
College education has a positive impact on birth rates, net of age and duration since previous birth, according to models estimated separately for second and third births. There are also indications o...
Frailty Modelling for Adult and Old Age Mortality：The Application of a Modified DeMoivre Hazard Function to Sex Differentials in Mortality
mortality frailty models hazard functions male-female differences Bulgaria
2008/11/28
Unobserved differences in individual’s susceptibility to death are an important aspect in the analysis of contemporary mortality patterns. However, observed mortality rates at adult ages, which are us...