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Stock prices assessment: proposal of a new index based on volume weighted historical prices through the use of computer modeling
Agent based simulation Computer modeling, Complex systems Financial analysis Stock market Stock price Volume weighted average price Stock price index.
2012/9/14
The importance of considering the volumes to analyze stock prices movements can be considered as a well-accepted practice in the financial area. However, when we look at the sc...
Weighted Kolmogorov-Smirnov test: accounting for the tails
Goodness-of-Fit tests Kolmogorov-Smirnov Survival probability Particle in a box
2012/9/14
Accurate Goodness of Fit tests for the extreme tails of empirical distributions is a very im-portant issue, relevant in many contexts, including geophysics, insurance and finance. We have derived exac...
Forecasting Value-at-Risk with Time-Varying Variance, Skewness and Kurtosis in an Exponential Weighted Moving Average Framework
exponential weighted moving average time -varying higher moments Cornish-Fisher expansion Gram -Charlier density risk management Value-at -Risk
2012/9/14
This paper provides an insight to the time-varying dynamics of the shape of the distribution of financial return series by proposing an exponential weighted moving average model that joint...
Weighted-indexed semi-Markov models for modeling financial returns
rst passage time distribution autocorrelation function exponentially weighted moving average Monte Carlo
2012/6/4
In this paper we propose a new stochastic model based on a generalization of semi-Markov chains to study the high frequency price dynamics of traded stocks. We assume that the financial returns are de...