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Consistent Factor Estimation in Dynamic Factor Models with Structural Instability
Factor Estimation Dynamic Factor Models Structural Instability
2014/3/18
This paper considers the estimation of approximate dynamic factor models when there is temporal instability in the factor loadings. We characterize the type and magnitude of instabilities under which ...
Functional dynamic factor models with application to yield curve forecasting
Functional data analysis expectation maximization algorithm natural cubic splines cross-validation roughness penalty
2012/11/23
Accurate forecasting of zero coupon bond yields for a continuum of maturities is paramount to bond portfolio management and derivative security pricing. Yet a universal model for yield curve forecasti...
Simple techniques for likelihood analysis of univariate and multivariate stable distributions: with extensions to multivariate stochastic volatility and dynamic factor models
Univariate and multivariatestable distributions MCMC Approximate,Aayesian,Computation Characteristic function
2012/11/21
In this paper we consider a variety of procedures for numerical statistical inference in the family of univariate and multivariate stable distributions. In connection with univariate distributions (i)...
Dynamic factor models have a wide range of applications in econometrics and applied economics. The basic motivation resides in their capability of reducing a large set of time series to only few indic...