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Can the Pessimistic Induction Be Saved from Semantic Anti-Realism about Scientific Theory?
pessimistic induction realism anti-realism supervaluations
2016/6/13
Scientific anti-realists who appeal to the pessimistic induction (PI) claim that the theoretical terms of past scientific theories often fail to refer to anything. But on standard views in philosophy ...
The Pessimistic Induction:A Bad Argument Gone Too Far
anti-realism inductive generalization pessimistic induction scientific realism
2016/5/30
In this paper, I consider the pessimistic induction construed as a deductive argument (specifically, reductio ad absurdum) and as an inductive argument (specifically, inductive generalization). I argu...
It is shown that as knowledge is structured, it comes in modules. This provides different " layers of reality ". Each layer of reality has its own distinctive inductive logic which may differ from tha...
In a formal theory of induction, inductive inferences are licensed by universal
schemas. In a material theory of induction, inductive inferences are licensed by
facts. With this change in the conc...
THE PROBLEM OF INDUCTION AND KARL POPPER’S HYPOTHETICO-DEDUCTIVE METHODOLOGY: A CRITICAL EVALUATION
HYPOTHETICO-DEDUCTIVE METHODOLOGY
2009/3/23
The focus of this paper is to examine the problem of induction as a methodology for science. It also evaluates Karl Popper’s deductive approach as the suitable methodology for scientific research. Pop...
J.S. Mill’s Canons of Induction: from True Causes to Provisional Ones
J.S. Mill (canons of) induction inductive inference history of philosophy of science
2011/9/7
In this essay, my aim is twofold: to clarify how the late Mill conceived of the certainty of inductive generalizations and to offer a systematic clarification of the limited domain of application of t...
J.S. Mill’s Canons of Induction: from True Causes to Provisional Ones
J.S. Mill, (canons of) induction, inductive inference, history of philosophy of science
2011/9/7
In this essay, my aim is twofold: to clarify how the late Mill conceived of the certainty of inductive generalizations and to offer a systematic clarification of the limited domain of application of t...
Local, General and Universal Prediction Strategies: A Game-Theoretical Approach to the Problem of Induction
Problem of Induction Meta-Induction Prediction Method
2008/4/22
In this paper I present a game-theoretical approach to the problem of induction. I investigate the comparative success of prediction methods by mathematical analysis and computer programming. Hume's p...
The Pessimistic Induction from falsity of past theories forms a perennial argument against scientific realism. This paper considers and rebuts two recent arguments due to Lewis (2001) and Lange (2002)...
On the True Method of InductionorInvestigative Induction: Real But Invisible
Bacon Induction Puzzle-solving empiricism
2008/4/22
Scientists apply Bacon’s investigative induction by first cataloguing experimental discrepancies among apparent natures of things. Induction begins by multiplying discrepancies, thus creating a puzzle...
Ramsey-Sentence Realism as an Answer to the Pessimistic Meta-Induction
Structural Realism Pessimistic Induction Ramsey-Sentence
2008/4/22
John Worrall recently provided an account of epistemic structural realism, which explains the success of science by arguing for the correct mathematical structure of our theories. He accounts for the ...
This paper analyzes the epistemological significance of the problem of induction. In the first section, the foundation of this problem is identified in the thesis of gnoseological dualism: we only kno...
The Formal Equivalence of Grue and Green and How It Undoes the New Riddle of Induction
Green Grue
2008/4/21
The hidden strength of Goodman's ingenious "new riddle of induction" lies in the perfect symmetry of grue/bleen and green/blue. The very same sentence forms used to define grue/bleen in terms of green...
Induction is ‘the glory of science and the scandal of philosophy’. I diagnose why. I call my solution a “disappearance theory of induction”: inductive inferences are not themselves arguments, but they...
The Laplace-Jaynes approach to induction
iduction probability theory de Finetti's theorem exchangeability
2008/4/21
An approach to induction is presented, based on the idea of analysing the context of a given problem into `circumstances'. This approach, fully Bayesian in form and meaning, provides a complement or i...